金融经济学capitalstructure课件(编辑修改稿)内容摘要:
or 16,000, w/p 50% Which project will shareholders choose? Payoff Project 1 Low High Total 9,000 11,000 Shareholders 2,000 4,000 Bondholders 7,000 7,000 Project 2 Low High 2,000 16,000 0 9,000 2,000 7,000 Corporate Finance Risk Shifting This is a serious problem only near default Managers are risk averse, so they won‟t normally gamble When a negative shock hits a pany, it may bee important Corporate Finance Underinvestment 10/11 1/11 M. rights: 150 M. rights: 500 Market unfavourable Market favourable Investment: 100 Investment: 100 Repay debt 110 Corporate Finance Underinvestment Any new debt must be junior to old one (covenant) Notice the project at T = 1 has always a positive NPV However, it will not find financing for it: • It can only pay 40 back, and needs 100 financing Corporate Finance Some empirical regularities Most corporations have low debt to asset ratios • In the sense that they leave tax shelters unused Changes in capital structure affect stock prices: • Increases in leverage increase value and vice versa (in swaps) • Equity issues lead to negative price reactions (information asymmetry) Capital structure varies across firms amp。 industries Taxes (. nondebt tax shields), asset structure (through costs of financial distress and availability of collateral), risk (uncertainty of cash flows) are significant Some evidence in favour of the pecking order theory Corporate Finance MM amp。 CAPM According to the CAPM, E[Ri] = r f + biE[Rm – rf] According to Mamp。 M II, rLE = r + (r – rD) (1Tc)D/EL Hence, it must be true that: r + (r – rD) (1Tc)D/EL = r f + biE[Rm – rf] where r = r f + bUE[Rm – rf ] Corporate Finance MM amp。 CAPM If we assume r D = r f, LCfmUfELDffmUffmUffmELfEDTRRErEDTrRRErRRErRREr))1(1)(()1)()(()()(bbbbAnd therefore: LCUEL EDT )1(1bbCorporate Finance MM amp。 CAPM This is the socalled Hamada model, used to calculate cost of equity for different capital structures In practice, used to “unlever” and “relever” betas LCUEL EDT )1(1bbCorporate Finance Reference MM in 559564 MM amp。 CAPM in 575576 Bankruptcy costs in pp 588ff (formal treatment!) Risk shifting in pp 594 Risk shifting amp。 underinvestment in pp 456460 (formal treatment!) Signaling in pp 596598, a slightly more general version than in the slides Pecking order theory (pp 598 ff) Cost of Capital and Investment decisions 18 September 2020 WACC Corporate Finance WACC Under the assumptions of MM, If the pany undertakes a new investment project with same risk as the rest of the pany, the change in value is: ( * ) )1( IBTIE B I TTIV CCL rBTE B I TTBTVV CCCUL r)1(Corporate Finance WACC The new investment is financed with debt or equity or both The change in value can also be seen from the liability side: nn BSI IBIBISISIV nonoLCorporate Finance WACC If Bo = 0, and using the fact that I Sn Bn The project adds value for the shareholders if 1 ISI BSISIVonnoL( * * ) 1010 IVIVISIS LLooCorporate Finance WACC Using (**) in (*): If we assume that there is a target capital structure and therefore that B/I = D/(D+E), the term is the WACC IBTIE B I TTIBTIE B I TTIVCCCCL 1)1(1)1( rr IBT C1rCorporate Finance Derivation: DEDTrMPEDDTMPrEDDTrMPEDDTMPEDDMPEDErEDDTrEDErEDDMPEDTEDEMPEDErEDErEDDTrEDDMPEDTrEDErTEDDMPrEDErTEDDrEDErTEDDw a c cUUUffUUUfffUUfffUffEffEf1)1()))1(1(()1()()1()1(bbbbbbbbbCorporate Finance WACC – lessons Notice that the standard WACC is a by product of MM, and therefore is relies on the same assumptions Notice also there is something intrinsically contradictory in the way it is often applied: • You start assuming a constant debt level • Then you assume a target debt ratio When the debt ratio is assumed constant, the WACC formula ought to be different Corporate Finance MilesEzzel WACC: dynamic debt If we assume the debt ratio is constant, the WACC formula is And the formula for r。金融经济学capitalstructure课件(编辑修改稿)
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